That rare-ometer is very funny. Who fancies a wager then - what will be the best bird of the weekend?
I'm going to follow the rare-ometer and go for Rock Thrush and 2nd best bird will be a Little Bittern.
Went up to Fair Isle yesterday after waiting on news at Inverness. Needless to say by the time we had landed on the isle the bird had already done a runner. I'm not sure we would have made it even if we had left at the earliest possible time on no news (just after 08:00).
But there we go, you win some you lose some - nice just to see Fair Isle itself!
Could do with a nice, hassle-free mega somewhere on the mainland this weekend to go for. Local patching will no doubt be as quiet as it has been all week, there are no waders moving at the moment. Rubbish!
So, what going on? The forecast southern overshoots have continued to pile in, but precious little in the way of Red-footed Falcons (and despite a big influx into Spain/France), Red-throated Pipits, Grey-headed Wagtails, Red-spotted Bluethroats etc etc. Too early, too soon, too rare, too nice? The pattern breaks on Friday so if its going to happen then it will have to happen soon....
Anyone offer an explanation for the lack of action, the Black Terns have certainly made it....?
ps a few scandi specials in the Netherlands in the last 24
Sure, a well timed front would have conspired to deliver a fall of migrants but one would have though that the Red-foots now massing in France would have kept moving north anyway? Maybe they will get here in the next few days? Although it was a little later in the month, can anyone remember the meterological circumstance that produced the big movement of Red-foots, WWBTs etc in '92....
btw good choice of Dunge, it had a semi-blinder.... Norfolk was pants.
12:15 06/05/08 Purple Heron Kent Dungeness RSPB 09:30 flew west over
10:04 06/05/08 Black Kite Kent Dungeness RSPB 06:30 one over; also Serin by Seawatching Hide 08:15
22:31 05/05/08 Pomarine Skua Kent Dungeness8 past today plus a Velvet Scoter. 9 Black terns at The Patch
11:40 05/05/08 European Bee-eater Kent Dungeness Bird Observatory 10:15 one flew over the trapping area towards the RSPB Reserve mid-morning
10:19 05/05/08 Pomarine Skua Kent Dungeness 09:40 three flew east at 09:40; also 9 Whimbrel, Hobby and Peregrine
09:11 05/05/08 Pomarine Skua Kent Dungeness 15 past this morning
09:09 05/05/08 Golden Oriole Kent Dungeness Bird Observatory 08:50female at top of Long Pits at 06:20 only and male there at 08:50
12:00 04/05/08 Pomarine Skua Kent Dungeness 11:40 16 past by 11:40;also 14 Little Terns and 5 Black Terns at The Patch
11:01 04/05/08 Golden Oriole Kent Dungeness Bird Observatory 07:45 singing male in trapping area briefly
11:01 04/05/08 Serin Kent Dungeness 08:30 one over; also Roseate Tern past
10:08 04/05/08 Red-rumped Swallow Kent Dungeness 09:45 flew towards trapping area
09:30 04/05/08 Long-tailed Skua Kent Dungeness 06:45 adult past at 06:45; also, 3 Pomarine Skua, 4 Arctic Skua, Great Skua, 7 Black Tern and 4 Little Gull this morning
13:29 03/05/08 Pomarine Skua Kent Dungeness 10:10 14 flew east and 5 Hobbies at Dungeness RSPB
12:27 02/05/08 Black Kite Kent Dungeness 10:15 one flew south mid-morning; also Long-tailed Skua flew east at 06:40
I think it has got to be the lack of precipitation that has been the reason for no/few birds. How many times have we been disappointed this way in spring before? Typical.
This easterly airflow has been around a while though and we still have a few days yet for the southeast to sink under Red-footed Falcons. Would be nice to see a few WWBTerns around too.
Rain maybe a requirement for a fall of common migrants but shouldn't hold up eastern vagrants - they aren't drift migrants sensu strictu. Have a look at the charts attached - the first is for the 14th May 1992, the first day of the unprecedented Red-foot influx, and the chart for the 4th May 2008. What is the crucial difference?