Happy Birthday Christopher! I hope you have a wonderful day.
Happy Birthday Christopher! I hope you have a wonderful day.
According to world specialists on climate change the Gulf stream may be near flipping in the North Atlantic Ocean causing a winter freeze up in the UK in winters coming soon with temperatures possibly falling to minus 40 degrees Celcius as in the gulf of St Lawrence on the same lattitude in winters soon!
Woods Hole have a website predicting iminent world climatic flips.
More details fom Bloomberg!
July 9 (Bloomberg) -- El Nino conditions are forming in the Pacific Ocean, which may limit the number of hurricanes that form in the Atlantic this year, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported today.
El Nino is a warming of the eastern Pacific that occurs every two to five years, on average, and lasts about 12 months, the agency said in a statement. Sea surface temperatures in the area were about 1 degree Celsius above average in June, according to the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center in Camp Springs, Maryland.
While the phenomenon can mean more wintry storms in California, “on the positive side, El Nino can help suppress Atlantic hurricane activity,” said the NOAA statement. “In the U.S., it typically brings beneficial winter precipitation to the arid Southwest, less wintry weather across the North and a reduced risk of Florida wildfires.”
Reduced hurricane activity in the Atlantic may mean fewer storms entering the oil-rich U.S. Gulf of Mexico. The Gulf is home to about 26 percent of U.S. oil production and 14 percent of gas.
Crude oil for August delivery fell 25 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $59.89 a barrel at 10:33 a.m. today on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices have declined 16 percent over the past seven days, the longest stretch since September 2006.
Last month, Colorado State University predicted the current Atlantic season, which runs from June 1 through Nov. 30, would be “slightly below average,” with 11 named storms, five of them hurricanes. NOAA forecast nine to 14 storms, fewer than last year’s above-average total of 16.
Both organizations mentioned the possibility of an El Nino among their reasons for forecasting fewer storms this year.
There have been no hurricanes in the Atlantic so far this season. Tom Kines, a meteorologist with private forecaster AccuWeather.com in State College, Pennsylvania, said that doesn’t mean people should relax their guard because the majority of hurricanes tend to form in August through October.
As the El Nino forms, “we’re seeing what effect it has on the U.S. weather right now,” Kines said. “As this evolution takes place it has been cool in the northeast and warm in the southern plains.”
In Asia, El Nino can mean the monsoon season starts later, Kines said. Severe flooding in Central and South America are also associated with El Ninos, according to the NOAA statement.
Last week, researchers at the Georgia Institute of Technology released a study in the journal Science saying a new kind of El Nino may be occurring with greater frequency.
The new El Nino occurs farther west than traditional ones and may have opposite effects, the study by the Atlanta-based researchers said. Those may include more Atlantic storms than would be expected when the eastern Pacific warms.
The current El Nino may turn into one of the new types, said co-author Peter West, a professor at Georgia Tech’s School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences.
To contact the reporter on this story: Brian K. Sullivan in Boston at email@example.com
Last Updated: July 9, 2009 10:47 EDT
Bertram.E.B.BREE predicting a sunny Jersey near France but more winter arrivals of Snowy Owls herre in the European Channel!
Happy Birthday Christopher. It seems a while since you posted - I (and others) very much appreciated your first-hand experience and knowledge of the situation in Malta.
All the best,
I hope you have had a great day for your birthday Christopher like in sunny Jersey where we heard from the Med of low water levels in the Rhone delta which has had mixed blessings due to also some disturbance the Slender-billed Gull colony has had a disastrous year with a population crash resulting for the species in the Camargue which fortunately has relocated to the bird reserve of Les Salins d'Hyeres near Toulon with ten pairs or so there now!
Hopefully the new site will go from strength to strength in the near future as it is less vulnerable to drought!
Also in the Camargue a great year for the Spoonbills and Glossy Ibis with 254 pairs counted of Glossy Ibis this year as opposed to only 96 last year with many young now about as with the hundreds of Spoonbills there now after a
good year also. Of the Glossy Ibis 199 were in the Gard side of the Camargue at the stronghold of the Scamandre reserve where the nine European Species of ardeaidae all breed as well as Purple Gallinules and many pairs of Bee-eaters plus surprisingly a pair of Hoopoes in a hole in the wall of the reception building of the reserve centre. Well worth a vissit to Scamandre reserve in the Camargue. My colleague Michel in the Camargue noted 55 Glossy Ibis in the Bouches du Rhone part of the Camargue a good sign the species is spreading rapidly in southern France and summering in northern France now in places such as the Lac de Grand Lieu. It is opening a new wetland reserve centre at the end of 2010 at a cost of 4,000,000 Euros to be a top European wetland reserve a top French breeding site for Marsh Terns and the nine species of Ardeaidae plus Spoonbills and occasionally African Spoonbills breeding plus White Pelican breeding and reseident in the area. Michel does much ringing in the colonies in the Camargue which I might assist in sometime as it is quite a difficult thing to ring all these large birds.
Details of the Salins d’Hyères reserve below:-
Les Salins d'Hyères
Les salins d'Hyères constituent l'un des espaces naturels les plus remarquables du littoral varois. Ils forment un ensemble de zones humides constituées de deux unités distinctes :
Le salin des Pesquiers, avec le marais Redon, recouvre au total 550 hectares dans la partie centrale du double tombolo de la presqu'île de Giens.
Les vieux salins, étendus sur 350 hectares, qui longent le littoral sur près de 3 kilomètres.
Exploités jusqu'en 1995 - date à laquelle l'ancien propriétaire a stoppé la production pour raisons économiques - ces sites présentent des intérêts biologiques et paysagers exceptionnels sur la façade méditerranéenne. Depuis 2001 ils sont la propriété du Conservatoire du littoral.
Les salins d'Hyères constituent également le témoignage d'une exploitation traditionnelle de l'espace littoral et nous laissent les héritiers d'un patrimoine salinier dans ses dimensions historiques et culturelles.
Gestionnaire des sites depuis le 1er janvier 2004, Toulon Provence Méditerranée met en oeuvre avec le Conservatoire du Littoral, l'assistance technique et scientifique du Parc national de Port Cros et en partenariat avec la Commune d'Hyères, un plan de gestion qui conjugue la préservation de la nature et des paysages et l'ouverture raisonnée au public.
Communauté d’Agglomération Toulon Provence Méditerranée
Site des Salins d’Hyères
04 94 01 36 33
I hope to hear from Malta to find out if the weather is good for the breeding birds at present and if Richard is keen on still visiting Jersey to see our Owls.
Good for some schoolboy howlers!
Bertram.E.B.Bree in sunny Jersey where the sun never sets quite like the Med!